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Pollster predicts Dem turnout to drop, GOP turnout to increase in election

October 19, 2010 Leave a comment

A poll released today that shows Gov. Martin O’Malley leading over Republican challenger and former Gov. Robert Ehrlich also predicts that turnout among Democrats and independents will drop in the general election while Republican voters will increase.

The poll  by Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies shows O’Malley leading Ehrlich 47 percent to 42 percent. About 4 percent said they planned on voting for a third party candidate and 6 percent said they were undecided. The poll has a margin of error of 3.5 percent.

The poll of 816 registered voters who said they were likely to vote was conducted from Oct. 11-16.

The poll concludes that voter turnout will be key.

Last month, Democratic voter turnout was down 27 percent compared to the 2006 primary. Republican turnout was up 23 percent compared to the same year.

Based on the data, the poll predicts that less than 1.1 million Democrats will come out on Nov. 2 — a 7 percent decrease compared to 2006.

More than 644,000 Republicans, an increase of 11 percent over 2006, are expected to turnout for the election.

The poll also predicts that 232,000 independents will vote this year — a decrease of 2 percent compared to 2006.

Categories: Election 2010, Governor

O’Malley interviews on WBAL

October 19, 2010 Leave a comment

 

Shari Elliker

WBAL's Elliker

 

In case you missed it today, Shari Elliker, host of the Afternoon News Journal on WBAL 1090 AM, interviewed Democratic incumbent Gov. Martin O’Malley by phone today.

Topics in the wide-ranging interview included education, his “new American’s quote,” what’s on O’Malley’s iPod and why Baltimore County Executive Jim Smith makes a promise to not raise any new taxes on behalf of O’Malley in a radio commercial that is in rotation currently. (You can hear that commercial here.)

Elliker’s exclusive interview, which was broken into segments, was played throughout today’s show.

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